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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
S0 U) k) y/ b# R; D/ A7 w8 r* l8 }, m: y- F/ i- `/ H" j. D- `7 I
其实原文标题不是这样的& K* j2 o. z- t
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
7 X# `4 v0 ~; S4 g2 G/ Y" o) P他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
9 o2 b g- c9 k" s3 |. q3 S- C0 z0 N: M% l) j
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。) B; i, m, R% h& D' q' O6 p
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「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」5 q9 B S8 x) R) h
' e5 Z( I8 l. r
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 2 A9 _9 H' i% P9 ]# Z
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」# G4 d- W% p7 B& Z& |
' D& [$ [# K" Y7 K
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。( H6 Y5 i" G" |5 T! X
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，/ f4 A/ c5 }2 G# B- @8 }
因此铜板较容易出现正面。
6 }9 L' [% d) p3 |, Q5 E长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 # J) Q4 x6 d b! a
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
" f' n/ N: a4 L* B' u* u心想赢定了。
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! P1 [- _+ v, v8 M: y3 R没想到开始不到半刻钟，
, p2 v; n) g7 F( L赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」2 n8 [3 Q) j4 A8 w6 M* x) X
2 n- m( I' J! s4 U1 C6 b5 H赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，$ |/ m2 ~: {8 h4 @+ H' R
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。/ M5 d. i+ E& r0 X) Q' i# l3 C- A
% j) |' K" `( ]& j/ o7 P% r赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?" r, q5 a; n. f/ E3 G2 l8 v- K
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：, k- y" S8 Z+ ?, o1 y) h5 B* C: [
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
% R3 F! r, r A+ i: U: {( G「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」- j) q2 m6 D5 C3 d* d' d
「而不是先发生在我身上。」' b: M2 O a0 s3 L8 a2 D M# {6 O
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赌徒恍然大悟，
/ N+ ]8 U- l2 [! W原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，, y8 _& z/ j4 ` ?
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
% y5 p0 f( g6 ]8 f! d4 N6 g「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
d) d: {" {* ~9 X, e上帝说完便不见踪影。
+ s- J$ J k+ i' p% |( p# @0 I0 \. G: a
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，* G6 f( {* b7 d. {! O2 m9 R
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，0 i6 [' p/ m" A, p
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，0 d& b z& f$ a2 Z
对赌徒十分有利。
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9 c" t& }+ F4 y3 N0 s A$ \但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，+ D. F5 J+ M8 R; n/ ?% ?; F. Q
在还没掷到1000次之前，& S1 {8 d+ A* ^: a
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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3 m6 _& ?$ N6 i _' i8 W 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。5 Z) F% i, S4 h+ I% y
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ , R4 u# |( f4 K+ A
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