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[虚拟币资讯]
随着鲸鱼抛售 93K ETH:以太坊价格在 Uniswap 上暴跌至 950 美元
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大家好 . L8 s- h2 S1 ]1 ?3 o/ j
我是币圈小沫沫~
1 G9 b- H' X( @ETH 在跌至 950 美元后大幅反弹。但 ETH / USD 看跌的延续设置可能会重新审视它。
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+ z* n( o& W8 P4 g+ t! `今年 6 月 13 日，以太坊的原生代币 Ether ( ETH ) 在 Uniswap（一个去中心化的加密货币交易所）上跌 ' Y# p8 Z) ~; e: h
至 950 美元的低点，大约比其他交易所的即期汇率低 20%。 T1 \( [2 A$ c9 h% v S
2 q1 S( Q0 s. ` @1 N
六小时内售出超过 1.3 亿美元的 ETH & ]+ r0 k* o1 O- F
该事件发生在世界标准时间 03:00 左右，此前一头鲸鱼抛售了 65,000 ETH 以获得多种“稳定币”，包括 USD Coin ( USDC )、Tether ( USDT ) 和 Dai ( DAI )。 ; |" W. k% y+ V
有证据指出，鲸鱼出售其持有的 ETH 以偿还 DeFi 借贷平台 Oasis.app 价值近 7300 万美元的债务。在抛售期间，ETH 的清算价格从 1,200 美元跌至 875 美元。 6 Y2 U, W# H: M, m
6 X; f; t! _/ l6 |% r7 b3 uOasis 的借款人继续疯狂抛售——在第一次抛售后五个小时又抛售了近 28,000 ETH——以偿还另外 3200 万美元的债务。这一次，强平价格从 892 美元涨到了 1200 美元，如下图所示。 ' H( |: D0 y4 y% e
% t @( \7 W' L j. k q7 F- z果，这只鲸鱼在短短六个小时内就抛售了大约 93,000 ETH。按 6 月 13 日的 ETH/USD 价格计算，该金额约为 1.12 亿美元。 ' z$ \% F. Z) H6 m5 [1 I5 U
有趣的是，Oasis 借款人的未偿债务总额约为 1.2 亿美元（以 DAI 稳定币衡量），这表明鲸鱼遭受了严重的“滑点”损失。 & |& k+ [3 C. p, d
. r1 b8 z/ E$ U) e; V3 h
以太币价格达到 667 美元——资深分析师
) ?4 y8 c( E3 Q* L$ f+ i( u5 d Z以太币涨至 950 美元的行程很短暂，这表明对接近该水平的代币有足够的需求。尽管如此，资深交易员 Peter Brandt 的另一项分析指出，未来几周 ETH 的价格将跌至 650 美元。
$ y1 y5 K& A( IBrandt 的看跌前景源于一个经典的延续模式，被称为“下降三角形”，在价格朝其先前趋势的方向突破后解决。 / ] T9 o& a& p+ H* ?; }( L. ?* r: H
由于以太在三角形形成之前下跌，其阻力最小的路径偏向下行。 9 r2 b5 P: L" ] B( |0 r5 Q
( W7 w n+ k2 n) K+ c( B
Brandt 表示，随着 6 月 13 日价格下跌 20%，ETH 已达到三角形的第一个下行目标 1,268 美元。他预计下跌将继续，ETH 再下跌近 50%，至 667 美元。 9 ~! \4 `7 p* E
尽管如此，以太币的超卖相对强度指数（RSI）可能导致价格急剧逆转。以太坊从 1,200 美元附近的 200 周简单移动平均线（200 周 SMA；下图中的橙色波浪）中挑选出额外的反弹线索，现在作为支撑。 ! L5 R6 x% s6 O+ e
2 ?0 D0 K* J8 z如果 ETH 价格经历上行回撤，则该代币的中期牛市目标可能接近 1,450 美元，与斐波纳契回撤图的 1.00 斐波那契线相吻合，从 1,450 美元左右的摆动高点到 84 美元的摆动低点。
. X' s+ @. C2 Q相反，如果收盘价跌破 200 周均线，则 ETH 可能将 920 美元视为其下一个下行目标。
/ z' z- f* p! Y- G) l此处表达的观点和意见仅代表作者的观点，在做出决定时，您应该进行自己的研究。
: ]' T9 O4 s7 O' I5 i$ w2 e# y好了，小沫沫就讲到这里，咱们下期见！ 来源：金色财经 |
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