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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
w" @6 |; Q6 u% H1 \ M- L
+ Z3 }) q7 _) Z7 _) r: I比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
! Y, q, a& p) Y1 \. `, K我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
6 P8 O3 C9 A9 |( j$ `
/ D$ e g6 P# H3 E1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
4 u8 [; L9 G7 v1 P8 R3 _
6 p6 _. f/ V! {. k/ J9 ]0 l6 e+ t没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过& |: `# X. n/ m
0 K8 N! \1 y- y& g5 G2 p- b8 K
中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
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去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长
/ Z) J1 i' _2 O- R
. I/ v2 n4 [( j5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
6 W5 }& w4 [" f
: e( P1 n' m" K8 t9 m2 x% K. yLayer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
5 P; s8 I0 Z3 i+ w+ j
" {3 c4 u, k2 CETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿2 \, {( F! c2 b6 l- p
; ^' v, L y% @' V" z0 o
美金）。
4 G/ Y: v; z- ^/ o+ v2 z! d+ r: A6 P8 t
- }" Q, w7 J( ~7 ?2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
1 i3 ]- y7 D- Z P- i7 n, e
& H" n+ ^ t H( s. P+ L, d比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去# r5 ~0 c0 K5 c6 R
3 d9 q4 t! a% t5 s- ~& j2 m. j
构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。% V- {1 i$ e$ a' [; S; ?
9 m7 E( b3 {/ L7 L# ^2 ~3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户* z7 q) t. F1 P( }* N# ^* f
9 C& i6 ?6 s4 [) P* p
尤其大资金的信任和青睐。( ~2 N, f( {4 N
. k5 Q3 L! U' n5 J# X, g4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
1 {3 c6 E9 F& _) c$ ~; _( u, c7 L( x( @8 p C% u, R$ U, m- H
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如) U* Q3 |0 L" E& c4 U9 I, K ~0 `8 O
; d; [/ y) T6 H% h" q: T' b
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
; C) b% m3 {, J+ p: J( l' e
9 ?/ Q6 { s( t3 m& m) J- x! R% X金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。) ~. H% c* N3 F8 ]+ N; o
" y% C) p# ]0 |
* I1 T6 L9 ?' R, ?, ^, i1 N
/ U* V& ?4 h6 W6 a, Y4 D* Z |
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