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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四
1 {* O8 N/ |4 d- l
6 ~3 F# F' ]2 k; d" P* H) t7 t) X正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置
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比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公 _$ y3 e/ g0 }+ E+ j
5 J. d* r$ k5 `2 |司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。0 M; I) R, E7 `$ ~. T
在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比2 y" O) H: t& I& }: ^& W& ^
* m* [! C5 q# q3 A8 l; j2 D
特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金
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% I* ~) q+ F1 t2 i% w( D(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。- P | M0 e, I! `
$ a2 ?6 I0 t' Y* P, o
来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货
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币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，. e/ e: J9 @: b3 j
! D) Q0 F8 }0 O+ P( ]并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。
( @! B( U# F9 p* s! C. u
4 _- ~( t _. M2 ~' V6 U/ \$ o, z8 q“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特
# X$ s" T b1 [5 ?* L' A/ D' k, P5 P- z3 X
币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价
5 R4 e; ~5 _' O+ ?+ b5 o' d/ `, N* w4 e9 W
格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。9 U5 G, d1 Z4 r* v) l& p; i/ L
5 V/ _* P) n4 M8 B2 x在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大
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& w0 B0 B) ^4 G D9 A0 o' L力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，
$ B N0 |0 R/ n8 P1 H
' C) X- o! G$ ?- b2 g# k( J2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。
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\4 j: n- {* S' Z% }6 w自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到5 t n5 ]( l1 I) n
2 r j0 h6 e4 v* b# n# ~
63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。( `) Y( v8 S. H/ G- Q* I3 ^- c
8 t& ^. C# p3 \“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下
9 R+ Z' }% \* x6 J
, k2 f/ H! X9 ]7 l' f降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该$ d6 i+ A' T; ]0 d
7 d0 D4 L' a0 j/ m7 r) A! g# w2 B" I会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。
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7 V4 J$ A: `# M! L* ~; Y( E |
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