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[虚拟币交流]
比特币优势,山寨币季节的赔率以及这个深层市场重置(转)
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比特币的优势现在超过63%,标志着所有指标的altcoins的看跌环境
1 T( E% c5 e: t8 F4 nStablecoin流动暗示了一个风险阶段,延迟了任何主要的Altcoin突破
+ r5 o+ O2 _1 a+ i" E似乎比特币[BTC]现在正在收紧对更广泛的加密货币市场的控制。 C" w7 V7 K) I& @
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实际上,由于其统治地位超过63%,最新的市场结构可能暗示了对山寨币的艰苦挣扎。* y, z1 t+ k0 M6 D {6 ~' o: ~
' L/ p* ~. h2 a& n" t& n0 J4 n这种转变由Alphractal首席执行官Joao Wedson在推文中,比特币价格与Altcoin季节指数进行了对比。
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7 [; Y F: S" G+ ^在撰写本文时,不到25%的Altcoins似乎胜过比特币 - 一个教科书比特币季节。2 Z. T) M, U7 \/ f) \
7 q) r. s( q( g+ Z. X9 P红色海洋中的四个幸存者 v" c; g9 `3 D, X2 ?2 W% J
根据Alphractal的说法,在57个AltCoins中,只有4个胜过比特币,该比特币本身在图表上下降了-17.6%。在少数优于表现的人中pancakeswap [蛋糕]发布了唯一的正回报,数字为 +10.5%。
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简而言之,表现不佳。
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0 l/ v. [% x8 A, v$ V大多数Altcoins返回-20%至-72%,6月的领先损失为-72.4%。尽管比特币自身在图表上下降,但仍然仍然是一个相对的避风港。
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相反,Altcoin“主导”告诉我们同样的故事。- F" D* b6 v" q
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自11月以来,Altcoin市场份额已从41%下降到37%。除了稳定剂外,它实际上从35%降至28%。
- B; G7 v0 _ K/ N
0 R' n0 G6 }1 l# x5 V; O( J4 v0 HAltcoin信誉的消失法案$ j% F9 j3 p! Z2 L( y
滤除比特币,以太坊和稳定币的粉刷均匀的图片,相同的股票从23%下降到20%。鉴于所有发生的事情,上述下降仅证实了非比币资产中缺乏投资者的信念。! }) I# g4 K( Z! L4 `: e
5 H# K3 r( m) B# b- B6 A- w' Y. w0 |交易的势头最近也消失了。+ V7 [4 R3 S- @% ], H
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12月5日,Altcoin市值达到了1.43万亿美元的峰值,数量为5426.3亿美元。然而,到4月3日,这些数字降至97564亿美元和1,373.1亿美元,分别降至32%和296%。
; I( L2 o) _( Q4 ~# d) ~, a& W- k. }. g$ q+ ~& k
这些数字描绘了投资者信心减弱的图片。5 r4 j5 N# G! i, p: |6 w! X
% F/ V F% C* l0 Z十二月的尖峰没有持续。到3月,在价格和参与中,这种趋势显然已经向南行驶。
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# b5 a; j* C/ ]* ]- U- u比特币在优势上的上升也与Stablecoin供应率(SSR)的明显信号相吻合。, B/ Q! j( w9 j, S- N0 i' z, I
8 P( X- L+ d" j当高峰转向警告时
0 b1 B: O, Z0 ?! L9 b) A2月23日,由于比特币价格和SSR同时达到顶峰,因此2月23日是一个转折点。8 n/ V: m" o l- Z C
3 t3 d# c$ u7 ^% x. D$ G8 `比特币以96,209美元的价格达到顶峰,同时为16.03 SSR。但是,在三天之内,两者都急剧逆转。到4月,BTC跌至81,800美元,而SSR降至14.21。
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这种比对可以看作是流动性如何移动信号趋势耗尽的迹象。重要的是,尽管比特币自身损失,但其市场的主导地位就上升了,没有下降。$ R- U9 u; b/ {9 k$ Q9 F: u
2 K8 i2 u% }7 x# S4 u' U+ `) r每个指标都会得出相同的结论 - Altcoin季节很少见,简短且脆弱。比特币优势(现在超过63%)反映了一个合并的市场,资本流入了人们的安全性。
$ V, W' z4 i# R: v: n7 w8 Z9 q0 t0 c$ {- C; u$ X) `
比特币还是胸围?
; K: x t( G% Z J存在围绕山寨币的短期乐观情绪。但是,数据还表明,如果没有统治性和流动性的结构转移,任何集会都可能保持孤立和简短。
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' s2 ?- J& a7 c) S2 A. @8 i4 i就目前而言,聪明的钱似乎停在比特币中,或者在等待的地方。- E& v; }9 @- o- U# y$ B
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