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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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% o1 M' `% i. c3 V报告中特别强调了这一论断。
& W9 G. @" x. |0 i8 |美元抛售推高比特币3 { q2 \6 T8 ]+ F1 O& i: k
9 j# l0 J" U0 x/ L3 cGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以8 o/ W2 @$ o" ~# J! h2 A& T; C' A
9 _6 ~( `$ _3 R0 d& O" b; J6 J
来的最低水平。4 v& t& r0 c, W8 a, ]' Q9 s
1 u6 V+ n" m- I' m“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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( S8 ^) P2 Z' a1 g& a" F* J根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指9 S8 N) R- t- Z* h/ F2 C6 N3 n
/ z3 N8 W z& S" ~& C4 ^$ s数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
9 x% ]; ], C$ ~' p% R$ [1 r8 d$ t9 e( ~+ E
Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推. @: V' c8 y, k e2 r8 }6 v8 w/ a
$ H M; ?2 V& {- G6 J高黄金和比特币的价格。7 E$ G# s' a& \ U
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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- N. M% `+ L1 r( g1 m+ S( {1 O4 ?剂。
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7 ]: P) f( ~# p' S6 I这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。# N" g) P1 U* Y0 k8 b3 V
1 l3 j U( ]' L9 o& ]这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破: ?4 Z0 F3 I! X4 A1 N9 J
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了8.7万美元。7 e. I$ S$ {* ^ M5 k
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然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，9 S* b6 z: [# e+ i6 O
+ x9 B u' {7 U: ^) ~0 E1 U“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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i, b' a E8 M7 j8 B6 P分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。, J) S; M/ p$ B; J0 Z) d
+ E3 o2 n3 R1 ?/ p8 U2 X“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”6 `5 ^% P+ d; x* O1 d
Q) j, e; @+ G6 b5 ~* I
CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。3 y3 h8 M$ K0 z
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